Here's a challenge for Chet Green. If you think Peter Wickham's expert analysis is incorrect, show us the numbers. The ALP must have their own internal polling. Let's see the numbers and the analysis, in full. And, make sure to make the pollster is reputable and available for questions from the media.
Denying Wickham's analysis with evidence from the 1970s is patently foolish and Chet knows it. So is the claim the fact that Wickham's 80% success rate in election predictions somehow means he's likely to be wrong.
Chet, we're calling your bluff. If you want to be seen as a credible political commentator, show us the polls and the facts.